Today / Iceland - 2. Deild / Hviti Riddarinn vs Dalvik.Reynir

Hviti Riddarinn vs Dalvik.Reynir Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Regular Season - 11 ·Friday, July 3, 2026, 18:00

Hviti Riddarinn

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dalvik.Reynir

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-18.1%0-27.0%0-34.0%0-4+2.5%1 1-06.3%1-110.8%1-29.3%1-35.3%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.2%2-17.2%2-26.2%2-33.6%2-4+2.3%3 3-01.9%3-13.2%3-22.8%3-31.6%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.4%4+-21.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.6% — — —

Draw 23.3% — — —

Away win 45.1% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 39.9% — — —

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 42.8% — — —

Away O1.5 49.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 21%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob62.1%

A 45% / xG 1.3-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 0–2 7.0%

#5 0–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hviti Riddarinn1.3

Dalvik.Reynir1.7

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 39.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HVITI RIDDARINN · PPG 1.75

DALVIK.REYNIR · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Hviti Riddarinn (H) 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dalvik.Reynir (A) 45.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hviti Riddarinn face Dalvik.Reynir in Iceland - 2. Deild on Friday, July 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hviti Riddarinn a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Dalvik.Reynir 45%, so Dalvik.Reynir are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Hviti Riddarinn and 1.7 for Dalvik.Reynir (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hviti Riddarinn are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.20 for Dalvik.Reynir.

Hviti Riddarinn vs Dalvik.Reynir Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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