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Kari vs Magni Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 16:00

Kari

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Magni

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 6.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.1%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.7%1-10.8%1-20.4%1-30.2%1-4+0.1%2 2-02.0%2-12.1%2-21.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.7%3-14.0%3-22.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-027.2%4+-129.6%4+-216.1%4+-35.8%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 75.5% — —

Draw 14.1% — —

Away win 10.4% — —

Over 2.5 83.1% — —

Over 3.5 72.7% — —

BTTS 63.5% — —

Home Over 1.5 77.8% — —

Away Over 1.5 36.3% — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 91%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 27%

ROI 1.9%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)5.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob63.5%

H 76% / xG 5.6-1.1 / O2.5 83% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–1 6.2%

#2 5–0 5.7%

#3 4–1 5.6%

#4 4–0 5.1%

#5 3–1 4.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kari5.6

Magni1.1

COMBINED 6.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.1% · O3.5 PROB 72.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KARI · PPG 2.00

MAGNI · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Kari (H) 75.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 14.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Magni (A) 10.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kari face Magni in Iceland - 2. Deild on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kari a 76% chance, the draw 14% and Magni 10%, so Kari are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.6 for Kari and 1.1 for Magni (6.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-1. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kari are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Magni.

Kari vs Magni Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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