2. Liga
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 32 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
56.2%
1X2
18/32
53.1%
O/U 2.5
17/32
59.4%
BTTS
19/32
56.2%
Exact score
18/32
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
21
Settled
42.9%
Hit rate
9/21
1.68
Avg odds
-31.5%
ROI
-6.6u
Picks by market
BTTS · N=14 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.63 · -19.7% ROI
HOME WIN · N=4 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.86 · -21.3% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=2 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.59 · -100.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.73 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-16.5%
ROI
✓ Solid
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
4
Bets
50%
Hit
-22.5%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
14
Bets
43%
Hit
-31.3%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 13 PICKS · 6 HIT · 7 MISS
14 MAY A. Klagenfurt vs Liefering BTTS -20% 2–3 HIT14 MAY Sturm Graz B vs Rapid Wien B BTTS -12% 1–2 HIT14 MAY St. Polten vs WSPG Wels BTTS -5% 1–0 MISS14 MAY First Vienna vs Bregenz Over 2.5 -18% 2–0 MISS14 MAY Austria Wien B vs Kapfenberger BTTS 1–2 HIT14 MAY Admira Wacker vs Floridsdorfer — NO PICK 1–0 —14 MAY A. Lustenau vs Amstetten BTTS -6% 2–1 HIT8 MAY A. Salzburg vs A. Lustenau BTTS 2–2 HIT8 MAY WSPG Wels vs Sturm Graz B BTTS -19% 2–0 MISS8 MAY Rapid Wien B vs First Vienna — NO PICK 1–0 —8 MAY Liefering vs Admira Wacker BTTS -14% 3–0 MISS8 MAY Kapfenberger vs St. Polten BTTS -12% 0–3 MISS8 MAY Amstetten vs A. Klagenfurt BTTS -13% 3–0 MISS3 MAY A. Lustenau vs Bregenz Over 2.5 -3% 2–0 MISS3 MAY A. Klagenfurt vs Rapid Wien B BTTS -11% 2–1 HIT