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Austria Vienna (Am) vs Austria Salzburg Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 16:30

Austria Vienna (Am)

PPG 1.16 · HOME

UPCOMING

Austria Salzburg

PPG 1.59 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.56 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-112.1%0-29.4%0-34.9%0-4+2.7%1 1-07.8%1-112.1%1-29.4%1-34.9%1-4+2.7%2 2-03.9%2-16.0%2-24.7%2-32.4%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.3%3-12.0%3-21.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.9% — — —

Draw 25.5% — — —

Away win 46.6% — — —

Over 2.5 51.4% — — —

Over 3.5 30.0% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -68.6%

Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob53.1%

A 47% / xG 1.0-1.6 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 0–1 12.1%

#3 0–0 7.8%

#4 0–2 9.4%

#5 1–2 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Austria Vienna (Am)1.0

Austria Salzburg1.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.4% · O3.5 PROB 30.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AUSTRIA VIENNA (AM) · PPG 1.16

AUSTRIA SALZBURG · PPG 1.59

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.56 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Austria Vienna (Am) (H) 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Austria Salzburg (A) 46.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Austria Vienna (Am) face Austria Salzburg in Austria - 2. Liga on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Austria Vienna (Am) a 28% chance, the draw 26% and Austria Salzburg 47%, so Austria Salzburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Austria Vienna (Am) and 1.6 for Austria Salzburg (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Austria Vienna (Am) are averaging 1.16 points per game versus 1.59 for Austria Salzburg.

Austria Vienna (Am) vs Austria Salzburg Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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