Today / Austria - 2. Liga / SKN ST. Polten vs Austria Salzburg

SKN ST. Polten vs Austria Salzburg Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Friday, August 28, 2026, 16:30

SKN ST. Polten

PPG 1.46 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Austria Salzburg

PPG 1.37 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLWL

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.02, combined xG 2.33 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-111.5%0-26.7%0-32.6%0-4+1.0%1 1-011.3%1-113.2%1-27.8%1-33.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.5%2-17.6%2-24.5%2-31.7%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.5%3-12.9%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 37.2% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 52.7% — — —

Home O1.5 31.1% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -68.6%

Bet Hit 20%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–1 11.5%

#3 1–0✓ 11.3%

#4 0–0 9.8%

#5 1–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SKN ST. Polten1.2

Austria Salzburg1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SKN ST. POLTEN · PPG 1.46

AUSTRIA SALZBURG · PPG 1.37

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.02, combined xG 2.33 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

SKN ST. Polten (H) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Austria Salzburg (A) 37.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SKN ST. Polten face Austria Salzburg in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SKN ST. Polten a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Austria Salzburg 37%, so Austria Salzburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for SKN ST. Polten and 1.2 for Austria Salzburg (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SKN ST. Polten are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 1.37 for Austria Salzburg. This match finished 1-0.

SKN ST. Polten vs Austria Salzburg Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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