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FC Liefering vs Austria Vienna (Am) Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Friday, August 21, 2026, 16:30

FC Liefering

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Austria Vienna (Am)

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-15.9%0-23.7%0-31.6%0-4+0.7%1 1-08.3%1-110.6%1-26.7%1-32.8%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.6%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.5%3-15.8%3-23.7%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-13.9%4+-22.5%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.1% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 28.1% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 37.9% — — —

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 48.8% — — —

Away O1.5 37.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -68.6%

Bet Hit 20%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–1✓ 9.6%

#3 2–0 7.5%

#4 1–2 6.7%

#5 1–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Liefering1.8

Austria Vienna (Am)1.3

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.9%

Form & verdict PPG

FC LIEFERING · PPG 1.52

AUSTRIA VIENNA (AM) · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

FC Liefering (H) 49.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Austria Vienna (Am) (A) 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Liefering face Austria Vienna (Am) in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Liefering a 49% chance, the draw 23% and Austria Vienna (Am) 28%, so FC Liefering are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for FC Liefering and 1.3 for Austria Vienna (Am) (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Liefering are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 1.71 for Austria Vienna (Am). This match finished 2-1.

FC Liefering vs Austria Vienna (Am) Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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