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WSPG Wels vs Admira Wacker Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Matchday 5 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 18:30

WSPG Wels

PPG 1.04 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLDL

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Admira Wacker

PPG 1.49 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-111.7%0-27.5%0-33.2%0-4+1.4%1 1-010.1%1-113.0%1-28.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.6%2-17.2%2-24.6%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.1%3-12.7%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.6% 40.0% 2.50 -11.0%

Draw 26.8% 29.0% 3.45 -4.5%

Away win 37.6% 40.0% 2.50 -6.0%

Over 2.5 50.5% 58.8% 1.70 -14.1%

Over 3.5 28.7% 36.4% 2.75 -12.6%

BTTS 52.7% 64.5% 1.55 -18.3%

Home O1.5 31.0% 46.5% 2.15 -33.4%

Away O1.5 36.6% 46.5% 2.15 -21.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -68.6%

Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 19%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.7%

A 38% / xG 1.1-1.3 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 1–0 10.1%

#3 0–1 11.7%

#4 0–0 9.1%

#5 2–1 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

WSPG Wels1.1

Admira Wacker1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

WSPG WELS · PPG 1.04

ADMIRA WACKER · PPG 1.49

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.17, combined xG 2.40 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

WSPG Wels (H) 35.6%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -11.0%

Draw 26.8%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -4.5%

Admira Wacker (A) 37.6%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -6.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

WSPG Wels face Admira Wacker in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives WSPG Wels a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Admira Wacker 38%, so Admira Wacker are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for WSPG Wels and 1.3 for Admira Wacker (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, WSPG Wels are averaging 1.04 points per game versus 1.49 for Admira Wacker. This match finished 1-3.

WSPG Wels vs Admira Wacker Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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