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Austria Salzburg vs SV Kapfenberg Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Friday, August 21, 2026, 16:30

Austria Salzburg

PPG 1.71 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLWL

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

SV Kapfenberg

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLW

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.45 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-13.3%0-21.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.4%1-18.0%1-23.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.1%2-19.6%2-24.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.1%3-17.7%3-23.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-08.6%4+-18.1%4+-23.8%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.0% — — —

Draw 19.5% — — —

Away win 15.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.8% — — —

Over 3.5 41.4% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -68.6%

Bet Hit 20%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.1%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–1 8.0%

#4 3–0 8.1%

#5 3–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Austria Salzburg2.4

SV Kapfenberg0.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 41.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AUSTRIA SALZBURG · PPG 1.71

SV KAPFENBERG · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.45 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Austria Salzburg (H) 65.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SV Kapfenberg (A) 15.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Austria Salzburg face SV Kapfenberg in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Austria Salzburg a 65% chance, the draw 20% and SV Kapfenberg 16%, so Austria Salzburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Austria Salzburg and 0.9 for SV Kapfenberg (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Austria Salzburg are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.91 for SV Kapfenberg. This match finished 3-2.

Austria Salzburg vs SV Kapfenberg Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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