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Admira Wacker vs First Vienna Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 18:30

Admira Wacker

PPG 1.56 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWLW

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

First Vienna

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLDWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-18.4%0-24.5%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.6%1-112.4%1-26.6%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.6%2-19.1%2-24.9%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.2%3-14.5%3-22.4%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.3%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.6% 41.7% 2.40 +9.4%

Draw 25.2% 29.4% 3.40 -8.6%

Away win 29.2% 37.7% 2.65 -13.6%

Over 2.5 53.8% 55.6% 1.80 -3.2%

Over 3.5 31.0% 33.9% 2.95 -8.6%

BTTS 54.7% 62.5% 1.60 -12.5%

Home O1.5 40.0% 46.5% 2.15 -14.0%

Away O1.5 34.3% 42.6% 2.35 -19.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -68.6%

Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.7%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0 11.6%

#3 2–1 9.1%

#4 2–0 8.6%

#5 0–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Admira Wacker1.5

First Vienna1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ADMIRA WACKER · PPG 1.56

FIRST VIENNA · PPG 1.27

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.41 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Admira Wacker (H) 45.6%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV +9.4%

Draw 25.2%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -8.6%

First Vienna (A) 29.2%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -13.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Admira Wacker face First Vienna in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Admira Wacker a 46% chance, the draw 25% and First Vienna 29%, so Admira Wacker are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Admira Wacker and 1.1 for First Vienna (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Admira Wacker are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.27 for First Vienna. This match finished 0-1.

Admira Wacker vs First Vienna Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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