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Novorizontino U20 vs Santo André U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 18:00

Novorizontino U20

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Santo André U20

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.68 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-17.5%0-23.4%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.3%1-111.9%1-25.3%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.5%2-19.4%2-24.2%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.5%3-14.9%3-22.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-12.8%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.3% — — —

Draw 24.5% — — —

Away win 23.2% — — —

Over 2.5 50.1% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 49.9% — — —

Away O1.5 24.7% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.3%

H 52% / xG 1.6-0.9 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–0 13.3%

#3 2–0 10.5%

#4 0–0 8.4%

#5 2–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Novorizontino U201.6

Santo André U200.9

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

NOVORIZONTINO U20 · PPG 1.00

SANTO ANDRÉ U20 · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.68 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Novorizontino U20 (H) 52.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Santo André U20 (A) 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Novorizontino U20 face Santo André U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Novorizontino U20 a 52% chance, the draw 25% and Santo André U20 23%, so Novorizontino U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Novorizontino U20 and 0.9 for Santo André U20 (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Novorizontino U20 are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.33 for Santo André U20.

Novorizontino U20 vs Santo André U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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