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Guarani U20 vs Tanabi SP U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 8 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 18:00

Guarani U20

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tanabi SP U20

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.62 for Home, form 3.00 vs 0.33 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-11.3%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.9%1-14.2%1-21.3%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-011.1%2-16.9%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-012.0%3-17.4%3-22.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-021.8%4+-113.5%4+-24.2%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 73.3% — — —

Draw 17.3% — — —

Away win 9.5% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.5% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.5%

H 73% / xG 3.2-0.6 / O2.5 67% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 12.0%

#2 2–0 11.1%

#3 4–0 9.7%

#4 3–1 7.4%

#5 2–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Guarani U203.2

Tanabi SP U200.6

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GUARANI U20 · PPG 3.00

TANABI SP U20 · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.62 for Home, form 3.00 vs 0.33 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Guarani U20 (H) 73.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tanabi SP U20 (A) 9.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Guarani U20 face Tanabi SP U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Guarani U20 a 73% chance, the draw 17% and Tanabi SP U20 10%, so Guarani U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Guarani U20 and 0.6 for Tanabi SP U20 (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Guarani U20 are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.33 for Tanabi SP U20.

Guarani U20 vs Tanabi SP U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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