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São Bento U20 vs Jabaquara U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 8 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 13:00

São Bento U20

PPG 1.33 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLD

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Jabaquara U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-024.0%0-113.3%0-23.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.9%1-111.6%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-09.1%2-15.1%2-21.4%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-02.6%3-11.5%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.2% 48.8% 2.05 -7.3%

Draw 31.6% 29.4% 3.40 +7.4%

Away win 23.3% 33.3% 3.00 -18.1%

Over 2.5 33.3% 43.5% 2.30 -23.4%

Over 3.5 13.0% 28.6% 3.50 -32.7%

BTTS 46.4% 56.8% 1.76 -18.3%

Home O1.5 33.3% 44.6% 2.24 -25.4%

Away O1.5 19.1% 35.2% 2.84 -27.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 135 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -41.3%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.4%

H 45% / xG 0.9-0.6 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 24.0%

#2 1–0 20.9%

#3 1–1 11.6%

#4 0–1 13.3%

#5 2–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

São Bento U200.9

Jabaquara U200.6

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.3% · O3.5 PROB 13.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SÃO BENTO U20 · PPG 1.33

JABAQUARA U20 · PPG 1.00

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

Chance this pick lands

46%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.31, combined xG 1.43 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

São Bento U20 (H) 45.2%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -7.3%

Draw 31.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +7.4%

Jabaquara U20 (A) 23.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -18.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

São Bento U20 face Jabaquara U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives São Bento U20 a 45% chance, the draw 32% and Jabaquara U20 23%, so São Bento U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for São Bento U20 and 0.6 for Jabaquara U20 (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, São Bento U20 are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Jabaquara U20. This match finished 3-0.

São Bento U20 vs Jabaquara U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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