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São Bento U20 vs Jabaquara U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 8 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 13:00

São Bento U20

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Jabaquara U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-024.1%0-113.4%0-23.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.9%1-111.6%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-09.1%2-15.0%2-21.4%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-02.6%3-11.5%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.2% — — —

Draw 31.6% — — —

Away win 23.3% — — —

Over 2.5 33.3% — — —

Over 3.5 13.0% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.4%

H 45% / xG 0.9-0.6 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 24.1%

#2 1–0 20.9%

#3 1–1 11.6%

#4 0–1 13.4%

#5 2–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

São Bento U200.9

Jabaquara U200.6

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.3% · O3.5 PROB 13.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SÃO BENTO U20 · PPG 1.33

JABAQUARA U20 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.31, combined xG 1.42 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

São Bento U20 (H) 45.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jabaquara U20 (A) 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

São Bento U20 face Jabaquara U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives São Bento U20 a 45% chance, the draw 32% and Jabaquara U20 23%, so São Bento U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for São Bento U20 and 0.6 for Jabaquara U20 (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, São Bento U20 are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Jabaquara U20.

São Bento U20 vs Jabaquara U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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