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Corinthians U20 vs Itapirense U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 22:00

Corinthians U20

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Itapirense U20

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +3.30 for Home, form 3.00 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-10.6%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.5%1-12.4%1-20.4%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-011.9%2-14.4%2-20.8%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-014.6%3-15.3%3-21.0%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-034.7%4+-112.7%4+-22.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 78.4% — — —

Draw 14.8% — — —

Away win 6.8% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 45.8% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 77.4% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 77%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.7 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob46.4%

H 78% / xG 3.7-0.4 / O2.5 67% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 14.6%

#2 4–0 13.4%

#3 2–0 11.9%

#4 5–0 9.8%

#5 1–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Corinthians U203.7

Itapirense U200.4

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 45.8%

Form & verdict PPG

CORINTHIANS U20 · PPG 3.00

ITAPIRENSE U20 · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +3.30 for Home, form 3.00 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Corinthians U20 (H) 78.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 14.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Itapirense U20 (A) 6.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Corinthians U20 face Itapirense U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Corinthians U20 a 78% chance, the draw 15% and Itapirense U20 7%, so Corinthians U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.7 for Corinthians U20 and 0.4 for Itapirense U20 (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Corinthians U20 are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Itapirense U20.

Corinthians U20 vs Itapirense U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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