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Aguai U20 vs Bandeirante U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 8 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 18:00

Aguai U20

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bandeirante U20

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.68 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.9%0-18.8%0-23.0%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.6%1-112.0%1-24.1%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.0%2-18.2%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.5%3-13.7%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-11.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.6% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 20.0% — — —

Over 2.5 43.6% — — —

Over 3.5 23.2% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 38.5% — — —

Away O1.5 20.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.5%

H 54% / xG 1.4-0.7 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.6%

#2 0–0 12.9%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 2–0 12.0%

#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Aguai U201.4

Bandeirante U200.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.2%

Form & verdict PPG

AGUAI U20 · PPG 1.33

BANDEIRANTE U20 · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.68 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Aguai U20 (H) 53.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bandeirante U20 (A) 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Aguai U20 face Bandeirante U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aguai U20 a 54% chance, the draw 26% and Bandeirante U20 20%, so Aguai U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Aguai U20 and 0.7 for Bandeirante U20 (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aguai U20 are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.25 for Bandeirante U20.

Aguai U20 vs Bandeirante U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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