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Gremio Prudente U20 vs XV de Jaú U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 8 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 18:00

Gremio Prudente U20

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

XV de Jaú U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-13.5%0-21.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.7%1-18.2%1-23.9%1-31.2%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.2%2-19.7%2-24.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.0%3-17.6%3-23.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-08.2%4+-17.8%4+-23.7%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.1% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 20.4% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 41.3% — — —

BTTS 56.3% — — —

Home O1.5 61.8% — — —

Away O1.5 27.7% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob56.3%

H 57% / xG 2.4-0.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 1–1 8.2%

#4 3–0 8.0%

#5 3–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gremio Prudente U202.4

XV de Jaú U200.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 41.3%

Form & verdict PPG

GREMIO PRUDENTE U20 · PPG 1.00

XV DE JAÚ U20 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.41 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Gremio Prudente U20 (H) 57.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

XV de Jaú U20 (A) 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gremio Prudente U20 face XV de Jaú U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gremio Prudente U20 a 57% chance, the draw 23% and XV de Jaú U20 20%, so Gremio Prudente U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Gremio Prudente U20 and 0.9 for XV de Jaú U20 (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gremio Prudente U20 are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for XV de Jaú U20.

Gremio Prudente U20 vs XV de Jaú U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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