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Ibrachina U20 vs Velo Clube U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 8 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 18:00

Ibrachina U20

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Velo Clube U20

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +3.27 for Home, form 3.00 vs 0.33 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-10.6%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-07.2%1-12.3%1-20.4%1-30.0%1-4+0.0%2 2-012.9%2-14.1%2-20.7%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-015.5%3-14.9%3-20.8%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-035.1%4+-111.2%4+-21.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 77.8% — — —

Draw 15.3% — — —

Away win 6.9% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 45.9% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 75%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.6 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob46.4%

H 78% / xG 3.6-0.3 / O2.5 67% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 15.5%

#2 4–0 13.9%

#3 2–0 12.9%

#4 5–0 10.0%

#5 1–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ibrachina U203.6

Velo Clube U200.3

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 45.9%

Form & verdict PPG

IBRACHINA U20 · PPG 3.00

VELO CLUBE U20 · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +3.27 for Home, form 3.00 vs 0.33 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Ibrachina U20 (H) 77.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Velo Clube U20 (A) 6.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ibrachina U20 face Velo Clube U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ibrachina U20 a 78% chance, the draw 15% and Velo Clube U20 7%, so Ibrachina U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for Ibrachina U20 and 0.3 for Velo Clube U20 (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ibrachina U20 are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.33 for Velo Clube U20.

Ibrachina U20 vs Velo Clube U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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