Today / Sweden - Allsvenskan / Kalmar FF vs Mjallby AIF

Kalmar FF vs Mjallby AIF Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 15:30

Kalmar FF

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Mjallby AIF

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-18.7%0-25.1%0-32.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.6%1-112.4%1-27.3%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.6%2-18.9%2-25.2%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.6%3-14.2%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.1%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.6% 43.5% 2.30 +7.2%

Draw 25.3% 29.4% 3.40 -8.4%

Away win 28.1% 34.5% 2.90 -11.1%

Over 2.5 53.9% 54.1% 1.85 -0.3%

Over 3.5 32.8% 32.3% 3.10 +1.7%

BTTS 55.4% 61.7% 1.62 -10.3%

Home O1.5 46.3% 46.5% 2.15 -0.4%

Away O1.5 36.4% 40.8% 2.45 -10.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 39%

ROI 10.2%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.4%

H 47% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0 7.5%

#3 2–1 8.9%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 2–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kalmar FF1.4

Mjallby AIF1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

KALMAR FF · PPG 2.00

MJALLBY AIF · PPG 1.43

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.26 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kalmar FF (H) 46.6%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +7.2%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -8.4%

Mjallby AIF (A) 28.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -11.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kalmar FF face Mjallby AIF in Sweden - Allsvenskan on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kalmar FF a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Mjallby AIF 28%, so Kalmar FF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Kalmar FF and 1.2 for Mjallby AIF (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kalmar FF are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.43 for Mjallby AIF. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +6.5%.

Kalmar FF vs Mjallby AIF Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Allsvenskan Predictions