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Halmstad vs Hacken Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, July 19, 2026, 14:30

Halmstad

PPG 0.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hacken

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.1% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-17.1%0-27.7%0-35.6%0-4+5.0%1 1-04.1%1-18.9%1-29.6%1-37.0%1-4+6.3%2 2-02.5%2-15.5%2-26.0%2-34.4%2-4+3.9%3 3-01.1%3-12.3%3-22.5%3-31.8%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.9%4+-21.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.4% 19.0% 5.25 +10.6%

Draw 21.4% 23.1% 4.33 -4.4%

Away win 56.2% 64.5% 1.55 -12.9%

Over 2.5 67.1% 65.4% 1.53 +2.7%

Over 3.5 44.5% 43.5% 2.30 +2.4%

BTTS 63.4% 64.5% 1.55 -1.7%

Home O1.5 39.9% 33.9% 2.95 +17.7%

Away O1.5 52.6% 67.6% 1.48 -22.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 13.8%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob63.4%

A 56% / xG 1.3-2.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–2 7.7%

#4 1–3 7.0%

#5 2–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Halmstad1.3

Hacken2.2

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.1% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HALMSTAD · PPG 0.83

HACKEN · PPG 1.50

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Halmstad (H) 22.4%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV +10.6%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -4.4%

Hacken (A) 56.2%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -12.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Halmstad face Hacken in Sweden - Allsvenskan on Sunday, July 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Halmstad a 22% chance, the draw 21% and Hacken 56%, so Hacken are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Halmstad and 2.2 for Hacken (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Halmstad are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 1.50 for Hacken. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +17.7%.

Halmstad vs Hacken Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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