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Hebei Kungfu vs Nantong Zhiyun Prediction— China - League One

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 11:30

Hebei Kungfu

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Nantong Zhiyun

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-025.9%0-122.5%0-29.7%0-32.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.5%1-110.9%1-24.7%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-03.0%2-12.6%2-21.1%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.5%3-10.4%3-20.2%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.6% — — —

Draw 35.5% — — —

Away win 39.9% — — —

Over 2.5 33.3% — — —

Over 3.5 13.0% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 22.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -33.6%

Bet Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob46.4%

A 40% / xG 0.5-0.9 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 25.9%

#2 0–1 22.5%

#3 1–1 10.9%

#4 1–0 12.5%

#5 0–2 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hebei Kungfu0.5

Nantong Zhiyun0.9

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.3% · O3.5 PROB 13.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HEBEI KUNGFU · PPG 1.00

NANTONG ZHIYUN · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.38, combined xG 1.35 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Hebei Kungfu (H) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nantong Zhiyun (A) 39.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hebei Kungfu face Nantong Zhiyun in China - League One on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hebei Kungfu a 25% chance, the draw 36% and Nantong Zhiyun 40%, so Nantong Zhiyun are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Hebei Kungfu and 0.9 for Nantong Zhiyun (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hebei Kungfu are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.14 for Nantong Zhiyun.

Hebei Kungfu vs Nantong Zhiyun Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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