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Foshan Nanshi vs Nantong Zhiyun Prediction— China - League One

Friday, July 17, 2026

Foshan Nanshi

PPG 0.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Nantong Zhiyun

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-117.1%0-210.9%0-34.6%0-4+1.9%1 1-09.9%1-112.6%1-28.0%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-03.6%2-14.6%2-22.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.5%3 3-00.9%3-11.1%3-20.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.0% — — —

Draw 29.2% — — —

Away win 46.7% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 23.2% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 37.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -43.3%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.5%

A 47% / xG 0.7-1.3 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.5%

#2 0–1 17.1%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 0–2 10.9%

#5 1–0 9.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Foshan Nanshi0.7

Nantong Zhiyun1.3

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 23.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FOSHAN NANSHI · PPG 0.29

NANTONG ZHIYUN · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: POOR form (0.83) vs Home POOR (0.29)

Win probability 1X2

Foshan Nanshi (H) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nantong Zhiyun (A) 46.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Foshan Nanshi face Nantong Zhiyun in China - League One on Friday, July 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Foshan Nanshi a 24% chance, the draw 29% and Nantong Zhiyun 47%, so Nantong Zhiyun are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Foshan Nanshi and 1.3 for Nantong Zhiyun (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Foshan Nanshi are averaging 0.29 points per game versus 0.83 for Nantong Zhiyun.

Foshan Nanshi vs Nantong Zhiyun Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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