Today / China - League One / Dingnan vs Shanghai Jiadin

Dingnan vs Shanghai Jiadin Prediction— China - League One

Saturday, July 18, 2026

Dingnan

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shanghai Jiadin

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.57) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-18.6%0-26.8%0-33.6%0-4+2.1%1 1-07.1%1-111.4%1-29.1%1-34.8%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.7%2-17.6%2-26.0%2-33.2%2-4+1.8%3 3-02.1%3-13.3%3-22.7%3-31.4%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.5%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.3% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 42.7% — — —

Over 2.5 60.9% — — —

Over 3.5 37.7% — — —

BTTS 62.4% — — —

Home O1.5 41.1% — — —

Away O1.5 50.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -46.9%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob62.4%

A 43% / xG 1.3-1.6 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 2–1 7.6%

#4 0–0 5.3%

#5 0–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dingnan1.3

Shanghai Jiadin1.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.9% · O3.5 PROB 37.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DINGNAN · PPG 1.00

SHANGHAI JIADIN · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.57) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Dingnan (H) 32.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shanghai Jiadin (A) 42.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dingnan face Shanghai Jiadin in China - League One on Saturday, July 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dingnan a 32% chance, the draw 25% and Shanghai Jiadin 43%, so Shanghai Jiadin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Dingnan and 1.6 for Shanghai Jiadin (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dingnan are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.57 for Shanghai Jiadin.

Dingnan vs Shanghai Jiadin Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - League One Predictions