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Ningbo Professional vs Guangzhou E-Power Prediction— China - League One

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 11:00

Ningbo Professional

PPG 1.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

Guangzhou E-Power

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-110.4%0-27.8%0-33.8%0-4+2.0%1 1-08.2%1-112.2%1-29.1%1-34.5%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.8%2-17.1%2-25.3%2-32.6%2-4+1.4%3 3-01.9%3-12.8%3-22.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.0%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.7% — — —

Draw 26.2% — — —

Away win 41.0% — — —

Over 2.5 53.8% — — —

Over 3.5 32.8% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -33.6%

Bet Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.4%

A 41% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 0–0 7.0%

#4 0–1 10.4%

#5 0–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ningbo Professional1.2

Guangzhou E-Power1.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

NINGBO PROFESSIONAL · PPG 1.86

GUANGZHOU E-POWER · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ningbo Professional (H) 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Guangzhou E-Power (A) 41.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ningbo Professional face Guangzhou E-Power in China - League One on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ningbo Professional a 33% chance, the draw 26% and Guangzhou E-Power 41%, so Guangzhou E-Power are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Ningbo Professional and 1.5 for Guangzhou E-Power (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ningbo Professional are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 2.00 for Guangzhou E-Power.

Ningbo Professional vs Guangzhou E-Power Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - League One Predictions