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Shaanxi Union vs Shenzhen Juniors Prediction— China - League One

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 11:00

Shaanxi Union

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shenzhen Juniors

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.25 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-19.1%0-25.2%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-011.1%1-112.6%1-27.2%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.7%2-18.8%2-25.0%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.6%3-14.1%3-22.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.9%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.2% — — —

Draw 26.2% — — —

Away win 27.5% — — —

Over 2.5 51.7% — — —

Over 3.5 30.0% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 42.8% — — —

Away O1.5 36.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -33.6%

Bet Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.4%

H 46% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 7.9%

#3 1–0 11.1%

#4 2–1 8.8%

#5 2–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shaanxi Union1.4

Shenzhen Juniors1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.7% · O3.5 PROB 30.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SHAANXI UNION · PPG 1.83

SHENZHEN JUNIORS · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.25 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Shaanxi Union (H) 46.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shenzhen Juniors (A) 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shaanxi Union face Shenzhen Juniors in China - League One on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shaanxi Union a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Shenzhen Juniors 28%, so Shaanxi Union are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Shaanxi Union and 1.1 for Shenzhen Juniors (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shaanxi Union are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.75 for Shenzhen Juniors.

Shaanxi Union vs Shenzhen Juniors Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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