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Argentino Merlo vs Camioneros Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 19 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 18:30

Argentino Merlo

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WDDLD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Camioneros

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDDWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-029.9%0-122.6%0-28.5%0-32.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.5%1-110.2%1-23.9%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-03.1%2-12.3%2-20.9%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.5%3-10.3%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.4% 40.8% 2.45 -25.6%

Draw 38.5% 35.7% 2.80 +7.8%

Away win 38.1% 33.3% 3.00 +14.3%

Over 2.5 22.9% 33.9% 2.95 -19.5%

Over 3.5 12.3% 16.7% 6.00 -15.7%

BTTS 44.2% 43.5% 2.30 +1.7%

Home O1.5 20.0% 32.3% 3.10 -22.8%

Away O1.5 27.9% 27.0% 3.70 +1.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 173 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 68%

ROI 17.6%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob44.2%

A 38% / xG 0.5-0.8 / U2.5 23% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 29.9%

#2 0–1 22.6%

#3 1–0 13.5%

#4 1–1 10.2%

#5 0–2 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Argentino Merlo0.5

Camioneros0.8

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 22.9% · O3.5 PROB 12.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ARGENTINO MERLO · PPG 1.00

CAMIONEROS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

44%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Argentino Merlo (H) 23.4%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -25.6%

Draw 38.5%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +7.8%

Camioneros (A) 38.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +14.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Argentino Merlo face Camioneros in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Argentino Merlo a 23% chance, the draw 39% and Camioneros 38%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.5 for Argentino Merlo and 0.8 for Camioneros (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Argentino Merlo are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Camioneros. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Argentino Merlo vs Camioneros Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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