Today / Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana / D. Laferrere vs Dock Sud

D. Laferrere vs Dock Sud Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 19 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 17:30

D. Laferrere logo
D. Laferrere
PPG 1.00 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
Dock Sud logo
Dock Sud
PPG 0.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.6%0-118.2%0-28.0%0-32.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.4%1-112.7%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-05.0%2-14.4%2-22.0%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.2%3-11.0%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 28.6% 47.6% 2.10 -24.0%
Draw 35.4% 34.7% 2.88 +1.9%
Away win 36.0% 28.2% 3.55 +27.8%
Over 2.5 33.0% 40.8% 2.45 -19.1%
Over 3.5 18.5% 22.2% 4.50 -10.1%
BTTS 46.7% 50.0% 2.00 -6.6%
Home O1.5 33.7% 40.8% 2.45 -17.4%
Away O1.5 27.9% 28.2% 3.55 -0.6%

League track record

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5 69%
BTTS 66%
Score Hit 63%
ROI 21.9%
Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob46.7%

D 35% / xG 0.7-0.9 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.6%
#2 0–1 18.2%
#3 1–1 12.7%
#4 1–0 14.4%
#5 0–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

D. Laferrere0.7
Dock Sud0.9

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

D. LAFERRERE · PPG 1.00

DOCK SUD · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

D. Laferrere (H) 28.6%
ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -24.0%
Draw 35.4%
ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +1.9%
Dock Sud (A) 36.0%
ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +27.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

D. Laferrere face Dock Sud in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives D. Laferrere a 29% chance, the draw 35% and Dock Sud 36%, so Dock Sud are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for D. Laferrere and 0.9 for Dock Sud (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, D. Laferrere are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.88 for Dock Sud. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +27.8%. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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