Villa Dalmine vs V. San Carlos Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Regular Season - 19 Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini· Buenos Aires Saturday, June 6, 2026 18:30

Villa Dalmine PPG 1.63

VS PENDING

V. San Carlos PPG 0.63

Over2.5· +12.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Villa Dalmine face V. San Carlos in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Villa Dalmine a 53% chance, the draw 27% and V. San Carlos 20%, so Villa Dalmine are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Villa Dalmine and 0.6 for V. San Carlos (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Villa Dalmine are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.63 for V. San Carlos. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +12.2%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.6%

Odds: 1.77 EV: -6.9%

Draw 27.2%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -11.0%

Away 20.2%

Odds: 4.80 EV: -1.8%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.0% Odds: 2.55 +12.2%

Over 3.5 23.0% Odds: 4.50 +2.1%

BTTS 48.0% Odds: 2.20 +5.6%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0

2nd 0-0

3rd 2-0

4th 1-1

5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Villa Dalmine

1.38

V. San Carlos

0.58

Model SuggestionHome -6.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -6.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+12.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 87 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5/Under 71%

BTTS/No 67%

Score Hit 64%

ROI 11.3%

Bet Hit 50% (24 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.63) vs P(Home)=52.6%