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Villa Dalmine vs V. San Carlos Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 18:30

Villa Dalmine

PPG 1.63 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

V. San Carlos

PPG 0.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.1%0-18.2%0-22.4%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.4%1-111.3%1-23.3%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.3%2-17.8%2-22.3%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.1%3-13.6%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-11.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.6% 56.5% 1.77 -6.9%

Draw 27.2% 33.3% 3.00 -11.0%

Away win 20.2% 20.8% 4.80 -1.8%

Over 2.5 44.0% 39.2% 2.55 +12.2%

Over 3.5 23.0% 22.2% 4.50 +2.1%

BTTS 48.0% 45.5% 2.20 +5.6%

Home O1.5 46.9% 45.5% 2.20 +3.2%

Away O1.5 19.3% 21.1% 4.75 -5.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.0%

H 53% / xG 1.4-0.6 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 19.4%

#2 0–0✓ 14.1%

#3 2–0 13.3%

#4 1–1 11.3%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Villa Dalmine1.4

V. San Carlos0.6

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 23.0%

Form & verdict PPG

VILLA DALMINE · PPG 1.63

V. SAN CARLOS · PPG 0.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.63) vs P(Home)=52.6%

Win probability 1X2

Villa Dalmine (H) 52.6%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -6.9%

Draw 27.2%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -11.0%

V. San Carlos (A) 20.2%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV -1.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Villa Dalmine face V. San Carlos in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Villa Dalmine a 53% chance, the draw 27% and V. San Carlos 20%, so Villa Dalmine are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Villa Dalmine and 0.6 for V. San Carlos (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Villa Dalmine are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.63 for V. San Carlos. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +12.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Villa Dalmine vs V. San Carlos Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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