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D. Armenio vs Defensores U. Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 19 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 18:30

D. Armenio

PPG 1.38 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLLW

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Defensores U.

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.5%0-115.0%0-26.1%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.2%1-113.1%1-25.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.1%2-15.8%2-22.3%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.1%3-11.7%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 45.5% 2.20 -19.9%

Draw 35.6% 35.7% 2.80 -0.3%

Away win 28.0% 29.0% 3.45 -2.0%

Over 2.5 33.0% 31.3% 3.20 +5.6%

Over 3.5 18.5% 14.3% 7.00 +17.7%

BTTS 47.4% 40.8% 2.45 +16.1%

Home O1.5 33.7% 33.9% 2.95 -0.6%

Away O1.5 27.9% 23.1% 4.33 +12.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 173 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 68%

ROI 17.6%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.4%

D 36% / xG 0.9-0.8 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.5%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 1–0 16.2%

#4 0–1 15.0%

#5 2–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

D. Armenio0.9

Defensores U.0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

D. ARMENIO · PPG 1.38

DEFENSORES U. · PPG 0.38

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

Chance this pick lands

47%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.38) vs P(Home)=36.4%

Win probability 1X2

D. Armenio (H) 36.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -19.9%

Draw 35.6%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -0.3%

Defensores U. (A) 28.0%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -2.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

D. Armenio face Defensores U. in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives D. Armenio a 36% chance, the draw 36% and Defensores U. 28%, so D. Armenio are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for D. Armenio and 0.8 for Defensores U. (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, D. Armenio are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 0.38 for Defensores U.. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +17.7%. This match finished 3-0.

D. Armenio vs Defensores U. Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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