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D. Armenio vs Defensores U. Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 18:30

D. Armenio

PPG 1.38 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Defensores U.

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.5%0-115.0%0-26.1%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.2%1-113.1%1-25.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.1%2-15.8%2-22.3%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.1%3-11.7%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 45.5% 2.20 -19.9%

Draw 35.6% 35.7% 2.80 -0.3%

Away win 28.0% 29.0% 3.45 -2.0%

Over 2.5 33.0% 31.3% 3.20 +5.6%

Over 3.5 18.5% 14.3% 7.00 +17.7%

BTTS 47.4% 40.8% 2.45 +16.1%

Home O1.5 33.7% 33.9% 2.95 -0.6%

Away O1.5 27.9% 23.1% 4.33 +12.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.4%

D 36% / xG 0.9-0.8 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.5%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 1–0 16.2%

#4 0–1 15.0%

#5 2–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

D. Armenio0.9

Defensores U.0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

D. ARMENIO · PPG 1.38

DEFENSORES U. · PPG 0.38

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.38) vs P(Home)=36.4%

Win probability 1X2

D. Armenio (H) 36.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -19.9%

Draw 35.6%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -0.3%

Defensores U. (A) 28.0%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -2.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

D. Armenio face Defensores U. in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives D. Armenio a 36% chance, the draw 36% and Defensores U. 28%, so D. Armenio are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for D. Armenio and 0.8 for Defensores U. (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, D. Armenio are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 0.38 for Defensores U.. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +17.7%. This match finished 3-0.

D. Armenio vs Defensores U. Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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