Today / Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana / UAI Urquiza vs Liniers

UAI Urquiza vs Liniers Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 19 ·Monday, June 8, 2026, 18:30

UAI Urquiza

PPG 0.88 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Liniers

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-032.6%0-117.6%0-24.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.9%1-110.2%1-22.8%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-05.5%2-13.0%2-20.8%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.1%3-10.6%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.8% 38.5% 2.60 -12.1%

Draw 37.6% 35.1% 2.85 +7.2%

Away win 28.7% 36.4% 2.75 -12.6%

Over 2.5 22.9% 35.1% 2.85 -20.8%

Over 3.5 12.3% 18.2% 5.50 -19.4%

BTTS 44.2% 45.5% 2.20 -2.8%

Home O1.5 33.3% 31.3% 3.20 +6.6%

Away O1.5 19.3% 29.9% 3.35 -21.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob44.2%

D 38% / xG 0.6-0.5 / U2.5 23% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 32.6%

#2 1–0 18.9%

#3 0–1 17.6%

#4 1–1 10.2%

#5 2–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

UAI Urquiza0.6

Liniers0.5

COMBINED 1.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 22.9% · O3.5 PROB 12.3%

Form & verdict PPG

UAI URQUIZA · PPG 0.88

LINIERS · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.88) vs Away AVERAGE (1.22)

Win probability 1X2

UAI Urquiza (H) 33.8%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -12.1%

Draw 37.6%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV +7.2%

Liniers (A) 28.7%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -12.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

UAI Urquiza face Liniers in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Monday, June 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives UAI Urquiza a 34% chance, the draw 38% and Liniers 29%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.6 for UAI Urquiza and 0.5 for Liniers (1.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, UAI Urquiza are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.22 for Liniers. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +7.2%. This match finished 2-1.

UAI Urquiza vs Liniers Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Predictions