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Flandria vs A. Quilmes Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 18:30

Flandria

PPG 1.22 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

A. Quilmes

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.1%0-116.8%0-26.7%0-31.8%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.0%1-112.8%1-25.1%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-06.1%2-14.8%2-21.9%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.5%3-11.2%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.0% 40.8% 2.45 -26.5%

Draw 34.7% 35.7% 2.80 -2.8%

Away win 35.3% 33.3% 3.00 +5.9%

Over 2.5 33.0% 33.9% 2.95 -2.6%

Over 3.5 18.0% 16.7% 6.00 +4.8%

BTTS 44.2% 44.4% 2.25 -0.5%

Home O1.5 33.7% 32.3% 3.10 +4.5%

Away O1.5 27.9% 27.4% 3.65 +1.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob44.2%

D 35% / xG 0.8-0.8 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.1%

#2 0–1✓ 16.8%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 1–0 16.0%

#5 0–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flandria0.8

A. Quilmes0.8

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FLANDRIA · PPG 1.22

A. QUILMES · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.22) > Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Flandria (H) 30.0%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -26.5%

Draw 34.7%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -2.8%

A. Quilmes (A) 35.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +5.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Flandria face A. Quilmes in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flandria a 30% chance, the draw 35% and A. Quilmes 35%, so A. Quilmes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Flandria and 0.8 for A. Quilmes (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flandria are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 0.75 for A. Quilmes. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +5.9%. This match finished 0-1.

Flandria vs A. Quilmes Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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