Excursionistas vs SM Burzaco Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Regular Season - 19 Excursionistas Stadium· Buenos Aires Saturday, June 6, 2026 18:30

Excursionistas PPG 2.13

VS PENDING

SM Burzaco PPG 2.13

BTTS· +4.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Excursionistas face SM Burzaco in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Excursionistas a 40% chance, the draw 35% and SM Burzaco 25%, so Excursionistas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Excursionistas and 0.6 for SM Burzaco (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Excursionistas are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 2.13 for SM Burzaco. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +4.3%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.2%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -21.6%

Draw 34.6%

Odds: 2.95 EV: +2.1%

Away 25.2%

Odds: 3.90 EV: -1.0%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 33.0% Odds: 2.70 -10.9%

Over 3.5 18.8% Odds: 5.00 -3.6%

BTTS 47.4% Odds: 2.20 +4.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0

2nd 1-0

3rd 1-1

4th 0-1

5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Excursionistas

0.88

SM Burzaco

0.63

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 87 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5/Under 71%

BTTS/No 67%

Score Hit 64%

ROI 11.3%

Bet Hit 50% (24 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.13), Away EXCELLENT (2.13)