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Dianella WE vs Perth SC Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 17 ·Saturday, July 4, 2026, 09:00

Dianella WE

PPG 1.50 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Perth SC

PPG 1.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away GOOD (1.89)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.6%0-24.0%0-32.9%0-4+2.8%1 1-03.1%1-16.8%1-27.6%1-35.6%1-4+5.2%2 2-02.9%2-16.5%2-27.2%2-35.4%2-4+5.0%3 3-01.9%3-14.1%3-24.6%3-33.4%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-13.0%4+-23.4%4+-32.5%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.6% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 42.5% — — —

Over 2.5 67.1% — — —

Over 3.5 47.8% — — —

BTTS 69.1% — — —

Home O1.5 54.7% — — —

Away O1.5 69.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 3.8%

Bet Hit 74%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob69.1%

A 42% / xG 1.9-2.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.8%

#2 1–2 7.6%

#3 2–2✓ 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.5%

#5 1–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dianella WE1.9

Perth SC2.2

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.1% · O3.5 PROB 47.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DIANELLA WE · PPG 1.50

PERTH SC · PPG 1.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away GOOD (1.89)

Win probability 1X2

Dianella WE (H) 35.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Perth SC (A) 42.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dianella WE face Perth SC in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, July 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dianella WE a 36% chance, the draw 22% and Perth SC 43%, so Perth SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Dianella WE and 2.2 for Perth SC (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dianella WE are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.89 for Perth SC. This match finished 2-2.

Dianella WE vs Perth SC Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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