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Western Knights vs Olympic Kingsway Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 07:00

Western Knights

PPG 2.12 · HOME

UPCOMING

Olympic Kingsway

PPG 2.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 67.6% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-14.9%0-25.1%0-33.6%0-4+3.1%1 1-03.8%1-18.1%1-28.5%1-36.0%1-4+5.1%2 2-03.2%2-16.7%2-27.1%2-35.0%2-4+4.3%3 3-01.8%3-13.7%3-23.9%3-32.7%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.2%4+-22.4%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.3% 34.5% 2.90 -6.3%

Draw 22.2% 27.8% 3.60 -12.0%

Away win 45.5% 50.0% 2.00 -9.0%

Over 2.5 67.0% 69.4% 1.44 -3.5%

Over 3.5 46.9% 50.0% 2.00 -6.2%

BTTS 67.6% 71.4% 1.40 -5.4%

Home O1.5 53.5% 50.0% 2.00 +7.0%

Away O1.5 54.5% 59.9% 1.67 -9.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 6.4%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob67.6%

A 46% / xG 1.7-2.1 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.1%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 2–1 6.7%

#5 1–3 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Western Knights1.7

Olympic Kingsway2.1

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 46.9%

Form & verdict PPG

WESTERN KNIGHTS · PPG 2.12

OLYMPIC KINGSWAY · PPG 2.30

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.45 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Western Knights (H) 32.3%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -6.3%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -12.0%

Olympic Kingsway (A) 45.5%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -9.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Western Knights face Olympic Kingsway in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Western Knights a 32% chance, the draw 22% and Olympic Kingsway 46%, so Olympic Kingsway are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Western Knights and 2.1 for Olympic Kingsway (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Western Knights are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 2.30 for Olympic Kingsway. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +8.1%.

Western Knights vs Olympic Kingsway Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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