Today / Iceland - 2. Deild / Hvíti riddarinn vs Kári

Hvíti riddarinn vs Kári Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Regular Season - 14 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 20:00

Hvíti riddarinn

PPG 1.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kári

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-15.1%0-24.7%0-32.8%0-4+1.9%1 1-04.9%1-19.0%1-28.2%1-35.0%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.3%2-17.8%2-27.1%2-34.3%2-4+3.0%3 3-02.5%3-14.6%3-24.2%3-32.5%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-13.0%4+-22.7%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.4% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 40.4% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.5% — — —

BTTS 64.5% — — —

Home O1.5 53.5% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -18.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob64.5%

A 40% / xG 1.8-1.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 1–2 8.2%

#3 2–1 7.8%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 1–3 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hvíti riddarinn1.8

Kári1.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HVÍTI RIDDARINN · PPG 1.29

KÁRI · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.07 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Hvíti riddarinn (H) 37.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kári (A) 40.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hvíti riddarinn face Kári in Iceland - 2. Deild on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hvíti riddarinn a 37% chance, the draw 22% and Kári 40%, so Kári are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Hvíti riddarinn and 1.8 for Kári (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hvíti riddarinn are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.57 for Kári.

Hvíti riddarinn vs Kári Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

More Iceland - 2. Deild Predictions