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Cobh Ramblers vs Bray Wanderers Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Regular Season - 24 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 18:45

Cobh Ramblers

PPG 1.45 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bray Wanderers

PPG 0.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.7% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-17.0%0-24.6%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.6%1-111.4%1-27.5%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.0%2-19.1%2-26.0%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.7%3-14.9%3-23.2%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.8%4+-21.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% 38.8% 2.58 +23.3%

Draw 24.9% 28.2% 3.55 -7.0%

Away win 27.3% 40.0% 2.50 -19.1%

Over 2.5 60.7% 59.9% 1.67 +1.4%

Over 3.5 37.5% 37.0% 2.70 +1.3%

BTTS 60.1% 65.4% 1.53 -8.1%

Home O1.5 53.1% 47.6% 2.10 +11.5%

Away O1.5 41.3% 47.6% 2.10 -13.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -20.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.1%

H 48% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 0–0 5.4%

#5 2–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cobh Ramblers1.6

Bray Wanderers1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%

Form & verdict PPG

COBH RAMBLERS · PPG 1.45

BRAY WANDERERS · PPG 0.82

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.30 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Cobh Ramblers (H) 47.8%

ODDS 2.58 · IMPLIED 38.8% EV +23.3%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -7.0%

Bray Wanderers (A) 27.3%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -19.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cobh Ramblers face Bray Wanderers in Ireland - First Division on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cobh Ramblers a 48% chance, the draw 25% and Bray Wanderers 27%, so Cobh Ramblers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Cobh Ramblers and 1.3 for Bray Wanderers (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cobh Ramblers are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 0.82 for Bray Wanderers. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +15.1%.

Cobh Ramblers vs Bray Wanderers Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ireland - First Division Predictions