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Meuselwitz vs RW Erfurt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost Nordost - 30 bluechip-Arena· Meuselwitz Sunday, April 19, 2026 12:00
Meuselwitz logo Meuselwitz PPG 1.14
0-3 MISS
RW Erfurt logo RW Erfurt PPG 2.00
Over3.5· +20.8% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Meuselwitz face RW Erfurt in Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Meuselwitz a 23% chance, the draw 20% and RW Erfurt 58%, so RW Erfurt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Meuselwitz and 2.3 for RW Erfurt (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Meuselwitz are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 2.00 for RW Erfurt. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +20.8%. This match finished 0-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 22.5%
Odds: 2.95 EV: -33.6%
Draw 19.8%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -25.8%
Away 57.7%
Odds: 2.00 EV: +15.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 70.4% Odds: 1.57 +10.5%
Over 3.5 49.3% Odds: 2.45 +20.8%
BTTS 66.9% Odds: 1.50 +0.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-3
4th 0-2
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Meuselwitz
1.37
RW Erfurt
2.27

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +10.5% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+20.8%)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.14)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org