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SC Paulinense SP U20 vs São Caetano U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 8 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 18:00

SC Paulinense SP U20

PPG 2.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

São Caetano U20

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.79 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-17.0%0-23.0%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-013.6%1-111.5%1-24.9%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.2%2-19.5%2-24.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.1%3-15.2%3-22.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-13.1%4+-21.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.4% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 20.6% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 53.5% — — —

Away O1.5 20.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.3%

H 54% / xG 1.6-0.8 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–0 13.6%

#3 2–0 11.2%

#4 0–0 8.3%

#5 2–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SC Paulinense SP U201.6

São Caetano U200.8

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SC PAULINENSE SP U20 · PPG 2.33

SÃO CAETANO U20 · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.79 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

SC Paulinense SP U20 (H) 54.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

São Caetano U20 (A) 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SC Paulinense SP U20 face São Caetano U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SC Paulinense SP U20 a 54% chance, the draw 25% and São Caetano U20 21%, so SC Paulinense SP U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for SC Paulinense SP U20 and 0.8 for São Caetano U20 (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SC Paulinense SP U20 are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.33 for São Caetano U20.

SC Paulinense SP U20 vs São Caetano U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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