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Sfera U20 vs Osasco Audax U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 8 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 18:00

Sfera U20

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Osasco Audax U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.90 for Home, form 2.00 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-12.7%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-010.9%1-16.8%1-22.1%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.8%2-18.5%2-22.6%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.6%3-17.1%3-22.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-013.3%4+-18.2%4+-22.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.6% — — —

Draw 18.3% — — —

Away win 10.0% — — —

Over 2.5 63.3% — — —

Over 3.5 40.0% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 63.3% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.5%

H 72% / xG 2.5-0.6 / O2.5 63% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.8%

#2 3–0 11.6%

#3 1–0 10.9%

#4 2–1 8.5%

#5 1–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sfera U202.5

Osasco Audax U200.6

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SFERA U20 · PPG 2.00

OSASCO AUDAX U20 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.90 for Home, form 2.00 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Sfera U20 (H) 71.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Osasco Audax U20 (A) 10.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sfera U20 face Osasco Audax U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sfera U20 a 72% chance, the draw 18% and Osasco Audax U20 10%, so Sfera U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Sfera U20 and 0.6 for Osasco Audax U20 (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sfera U20 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Osasco Audax U20.

Sfera U20 vs Osasco Audax U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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