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Portuguesa Santista U20 vs Juventus U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 8 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 18:00

Portuguesa Santista U20

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Juventus U20

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -0.67 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-14.9%0-25.5%0-34.1%0-4+3.9%1 1-03.4%1-17.7%1-28.7%1-36.5%1-4+6.2%2 2-02.7%2-16.1%2-26.9%2-35.2%2-4+4.9%3 3-01.4%3-13.2%3-23.6%3-32.7%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.8%4+-22.0%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.6% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 45.9% — — —

Over 2.5 66.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.5% — — —

BTTS 64.4% — — —

Home O1.5 50.7% — — —

Away O1.5 67.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob64.4%

A 46% / xG 1.6-2.3 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 1–3 6.5%

#5 2–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Portuguesa Santista U201.6

Juventus U202.3

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PORTUGUESA SANTISTA U20 · PPG 3.00

JUVENTUS U20 · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.67 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Portuguesa Santista U20 (H) 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Juventus U20 (A) 45.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Portuguesa Santista U20 face Juventus U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Portuguesa Santista U20 a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Juventus U20 46%, so Juventus U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Portuguesa Santista U20 and 2.3 for Juventus U20 (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Portuguesa Santista U20 are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Juventus U20.

Portuguesa Santista U20 vs Juventus U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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