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Eilenburg vs BFC Dynamo Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Nordost - 30 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:00

Eilenburg

PPG 1.07 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

BFC Dynamo

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.1% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-110.1%0-27.5%0-33.7%0-4+1.9%1 1-08.2%1-112.1%1-29.0%1-34.5%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.9%2-17.3%2-25.4%2-32.7%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.0%3-12.9%3-22.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.5% 35.7% 2.80 -14.6%

Draw 25.6% 29.4% 3.40 -13.0%

Away win 43.9% 45.5% 2.20 -3.4%

Over 2.5 50.4% 58.8% 1.70 -14.3%

Over 3.5 28.3% 37.0% 2.70 -23.6%

BTTS 54.1% 64.5% 1.55 -16.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 9.8%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob54.1%

A 44% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 0–1 10.1%

#3 1–2 9.0%

#4 1–0 8.2%

#5 0–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eilenburg1.2

BFC Dynamo1.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.3%

Form & verdict PPG

EILENBURG · PPG 1.07

BFC DYNAMO · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Eilenburg (H) 30.5%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -14.6%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -13.0%

BFC Dynamo (A) 43.9%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -3.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eilenburg face BFC Dynamo in Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eilenburg a 31% chance, the draw 26% and BFC Dynamo 44%, so BFC Dynamo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Eilenburg and 1.5 for BFC Dynamo (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eilenburg are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.00 for BFC Dynamo. This match finished 2-2.

Eilenburg vs BFC Dynamo Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Match Preview & Prediction

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