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Corinthians vs Remo Prediction— Brazil - Serie A

Regular Season - 19 ·Thursday, July 23, 2026, 22:30

Corinthians

PPG 1.56 · HOME

UPCOMING

Remo

PPG 0.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 66.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-17.3%0-22.8%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.2%1-111.6%1-24.4%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-012.0%2-19.1%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.3%3-14.8%3-21.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-12.7%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.6% 66.2% 1.51 -17.5%

Draw 25.1% 25.6% 3.90 -1.3%

Away win 20.3% 15.2% 6.60 +20.4%

Over 2.5 50.0% 51.3% 1.95 -2.5%

Over 3.5 28.8% 29.4% 3.40 -1.3%

BTTS 52.2% 50.0% 2.00 +4.4%

Home O1.5 50.1% 58.8% 1.70 -14.8%

Away O1.5 20.7% 21.1% 4.75 -1.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 69 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -4.9%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.2%

H 55% / xG 1.6-0.8 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.2%

#2 1–1 11.6%

#3 2–0 12.0%

#4 0–0 9.6%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Corinthians1.6

Remo0.8

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

CORINTHIANS · PPG 1.56

REMO · PPG 0.89

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away POOR (0.89)

Win probability 1X2

Corinthians (H) 54.6%

ODDS 1.51 · IMPLIED 66.2% EV -17.5%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -1.3%

Remo (A) 20.3%

ODDS 6.60 · IMPLIED 15.2% EV +20.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Corinthians face Remo in Brazil - Serie A on Thursday, July 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Corinthians a 55% chance, the draw 25% and Remo 20%, so Corinthians are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Corinthians and 0.8 for Remo (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Corinthians are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 0.89 for Remo. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.4%.

Corinthians vs Remo Prediction— Brazil - Serie A

Match Preview & Prediction

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