Today / Spain - Segunda División / FC Andorra vs Valladolid

FC Andorra vs Valladolid Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Regular Season - 36 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:00

FC Andorra

PPG 1.41 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Valladolid

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.41) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-15.4%0-22.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.1%1-110.3%1-25.3%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.7%2-19.9%2-25.1%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.2%3-16.4%3-23.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-14.7%4+-22.4%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.4% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 19.7% — — —

Over 2.5 56.3% — — —

Over 3.5 34.0% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 9.7%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.6%

H 58% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 1–0✓ 10.1%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 2–0 9.7%

#5 3–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Andorra1.9

Valladolid1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.3% · O3.5 PROB 34.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FC ANDORRA · PPG 1.41

VALLADOLID · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.41) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

FC Andorra (H) 58.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Valladolid (A) 19.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Andorra face Valladolid in Spain - Segunda División on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Andorra a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Valladolid 20%, so FC Andorra are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for FC Andorra and 1.0 for Valladolid (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Andorra are averaging 1.41 points per game versus 1.00 for Valladolid. This match finished 1-0.

FC Andorra vs Valladolid Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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