Today / Uzbekistan - Super League / Buxoro vs Bunyodkor

Buxoro vs Bunyodkor Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Regular Season - 13 ·Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 15:00

Buxoro

PPG 2.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bunyodkor

PPG 2.17 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.6%0-110.7%0-24.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.3%1-113.2%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.8%2-18.1%2-23.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.6%3-13.3%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.8% 51.3% 1.95 -12.6%

Draw 28.5% 33.3% 3.00 -8.7%

Away win 26.6% 28.6% 3.50 -4.1%

Over 2.5 46.8% 47.6% 2.10 -1.7%

Over 3.5 26.7% 26.0% 3.84 +1.5%

BTTS 48.4% 54.1% 1.85 -10.5%

Home O1.5 37.0% 45.7% 2.19 -19.0%

Away O1.5 25.7% 29.2% 3.42 -7.3%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.4%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 11.6%

#3 1–0 14.3%

#4 2–0 8.8%

#5 0–1 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Buxoro1.2

Bunyodkor0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BUXORO · PPG 2.17

BUNYODKOR · PPG 2.17

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.17), Away EXCELLENT (2.17)

Win probability 1X2

Buxoro (H) 44.8%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -12.6%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -8.7%

Bunyodkor (A) 26.6%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -4.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Buxoro face Bunyodkor in Uzbekistan - Super League on Tuesday, July 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Buxoro a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Bunyodkor 27%, so Buxoro are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Buxoro and 0.9 for Bunyodkor (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Buxoro are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 2.17 for Bunyodkor. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.5%.

Buxoro vs Bunyodkor Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Uzbekistan - Super League Predictions