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Lazio U20 vs Roma U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 34 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 11:00

Lazio U20

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Roma U20

PPG 1.69 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-113.2%0-29.4%0-34.5%0-4+2.2%1 1-08.8%1-112.6%1-29.0%1-34.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-04.2%2-16.0%2-24.3%2-32.0%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.3%3-11.9%3-21.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.1% — — —

Draw 26.8% — — —

Away win 48.1% — — —

Over 2.5 42.6% — — —

Over 3.5 21.8% — — —

BTTS 46.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob46.7%

A 48% / xG 1.0-1.4 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 13.2%

#2 1–1 12.6%

#3 0–2 9.4%

#4 0–0✓ 9.2%

#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lazio U201.0

Roma U201.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.6% · O3.5 PROB 21.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LAZIO U20 · PPG 1.50

ROMA U20 · PPG 1.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.69)

Win probability 1X2

Lazio U20 (H) 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Roma U20 (A) 48.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lazio U20 face Roma U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lazio U20 a 25% chance, the draw 27% and Roma U20 48%, so Roma U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Lazio U20 and 1.4 for Roma U20 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lazio U20 are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.69 for Roma U20. This match finished 0-0.

Lazio U20 vs Roma U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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