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Torino U20 vs Lazio U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 37 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 09:00

Torino U20 logo
Torino U20
PPG 1.39 · HOME
4 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Lazio U20 logo
Lazio U20
PPG 1.22 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.39), Away AVERAGE (1.22)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-110.4%0-25.4%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.5%1-113.1%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.9%2-18.3%2-24.3%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.3%3-13.5%3-21.8%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 42.4%
Draw 29.8%
Away win 27.7%
Over 2.5 46.4%
Over 3.5 20.3%
BTTS 52.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 54%
BTTS 56%
Score Hit 49%
ROI -28.0%
Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 4-1
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.3%

H 42% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%
#2 0–0 9.9%
#3 1–0 12.5%
#4 0–1 10.4%
#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torino U201.3
Lazio U201.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.4% · O3.5 PROB 20.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TORINO U20 · PPG 1.39

LAZIO U20 · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.39), Away AVERAGE (1.22)

Win probability 1X2

Torino U20 (H) 42.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 29.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Lazio U20 (A) 27.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Torino U20 face Lazio U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torino U20 a 42% chance, the draw 30% and Lazio U20 28%, so Torino U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Torino U20 and 1.0 for Lazio U20 (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torino U20 are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 1.22 for Lazio U20. This match finished 4-1.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org