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Napoli U20 vs Lecce U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 37 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 09:00

Napoli U20

PPG 1.28 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Lecce U20

PPG 1.28 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.28), Away AVERAGE (1.28)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-110.2%0-26.9%0-33.2%0-4+1.5%1 1-09.2%1-112.5%1-28.6%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.7%2-17.7%2-25.3%2-32.4%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.3%3-13.2%3-22.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.3%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.1% — — —

Draw 27.5% — — —

Away win 36.4% — — —

Over 2.5 52.8% — — —

Over 3.5 26.3% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.6%

A 36% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.5%

#2 0–0 7.5%

#3 1–2 8.6%

#4 0–1 10.2%

#5 2–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Napoli U201.2

Lecce U201.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.3%

Form & verdict PPG

NAPOLI U20 · PPG 1.28

LECCE U20 · PPG 1.28

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.28), Away AVERAGE (1.28)

Win probability 1X2

Napoli U20 (H) 36.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lecce U20 (A) 36.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Napoli U20 face Lecce U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Napoli U20 a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Lecce U20 36%, so Lecce U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Napoli U20 and 1.4 for Lecce U20 (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Napoli U20 are averaging 1.28 points per game versus 1.28 for Lecce U20. This match finished 1-1.

Napoli U20 vs Lecce U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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