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H. Verona U20 vs Roma U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 38 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 11:00

H. Verona U20

PPG 1.67 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Roma U20

PPG 1.72 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-110.2%0-27.8%0-34.0%0-4+2.1%1 1-07.9%1-112.0%1-29.2%1-34.7%1-4+2.5%2 2-04.6%2-17.1%2-25.4%2-32.8%2-4+1.5%3 3-01.8%3-12.8%3-22.1%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.7% 24.4% 4.10 +30.0%

Draw 25.9% 28.6% 3.50 -5.6%

Away win 42.4% 58.8% 1.70 -27.9%

Over 2.5 52.6% 58.8% 1.70 -10.6%

Over 3.5 28.8% 36.0% 2.78 -12.0%

BTTS 54.6% 59.9% 1.67 -8.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob54.6%

A 42% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 0–0✓ 6.7%

#4 0–1 10.2%

#5 0–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

H. Verona U201.2

Roma U201.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

H. VERONA U20 · PPG 1.67

ROMA U20 · PPG 1.72

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.72)

Win probability 1X2

H. Verona U20 (H) 31.7%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +30.0%

Draw 25.9%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -5.6%

Roma U20 (A) 42.4%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -27.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

H. Verona U20 face Roma U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives H. Verona U20 a 32% chance, the draw 26% and Roma U20 42%, so Roma U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for H. Verona U20 and 1.5 for Roma U20 (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, H. Verona U20 are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.72 for Roma U20. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.0%. This match finished 0-0.

H. Verona U20 vs Roma U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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