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Milan U20 vs Torino U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 38 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 09:00

Milan U20

PPG 1.39 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Torino U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.39) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-18.7%0-24.8%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.4%1-112.5%1-26.9%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.2%2-19.0%2-24.9%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.9%3-14.3%3-22.4%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.1%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% — — —

Draw 27.9% — — —

Away win 26.1% — — —

Over 2.5 47.6% — — —

Over 3.5 24.9% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.3%

H 46% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.5%

#2 0–0 8.0%

#3 1–0 11.4%

#4 2–1 9.0%

#5 2–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Milan U201.4

Torino U201.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 24.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MILAN U20 · PPG 1.39

TORINO U20 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.39) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Milan U20 (H) 46.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Torino U20 (A) 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Milan U20 face Torino U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Milan U20 a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Torino U20 26%, so Milan U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Milan U20 and 1.1 for Torino U20 (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Milan U20 are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 1.00 for Torino U20. This match finished 1-1.

Milan U20 vs Torino U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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