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Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 logo Italy flag Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 Regular Season - 38 Stadio Enzo Ricci· Sassuolo Saturday, May 16, 2026 09:00
Sassuolo U20 logo Sassuolo U20 PPG 1.28
1-2 MISS
Frosinone U20 logo Frosinone U20 PPG 0.67
Away· +7.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.7%
Odds: 1.55 EV: -19.9%
Draw 24.0%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -5.3%
Away 24.3%
Odds: 4.60 EV: +7.1%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.3% Odds: 1.47 -11.4%
Over 3.5 37.1% Odds: 2.20 -18.4%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.53 -8.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Sassuolo U20
1.93
Frosinone U20
1.16

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -11.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.28) > Away POOR (0.67)

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