Today / Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 / Bologna U20 vs Cagliari U20

Bologna U20 vs Cagliari U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 37 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:00

Bologna U20

PPG 1.44 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Cagliari U20

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.67)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-16.2%0-23.2%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-010.7%1-111.0%1-25.7%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.5%2-19.8%2-25.1%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.7%3-15.9%3-23.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-13.9%4+-22.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 25.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.1% — — —

Over 3.5 31.3% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.6%

H 49% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.5%

#4 1–0 10.7%

#5 0–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bologna U201.8

Cagliari U201.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 31.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BOLOGNA U20 · PPG 1.44

CAGLIARI U20 · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Bologna U20 (H) 49.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cagliari U20 (A) 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bologna U20 face Cagliari U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bologna U20 a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Cagliari U20 25%, so Bologna U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Bologna U20 and 1.0 for Cagliari U20 (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bologna U20 are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.67 for Cagliari U20. This match finished 2-2.

Bologna U20 vs Cagliari U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 Predictions