Today / USA - NWSL / Boston Legacy W vs Washington S. W

Boston Legacy W vs Washington S. W Prediction— USA - NWSL

Group Stage ·Sunday, July 19, 2026, 23:00

Boston Legacy W logo
Boston Legacy W
PPG 1.22 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Washington S. W logo
Washington S. W
PPG 1.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-114.0%0-29.6%0-34.4%0-4+2.0%1 1-09.3%1-112.8%1-28.7%1-34.0%1-4+1.8%2 2-04.3%2-15.8%2-24.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.3%3-11.8%3-21.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 30.0%
Draw 27.2%
Away win 42.9%
Over 2.5 48.1%
Over 3.5 29.0%
BTTS 49.7%
Home O1.5 33.3%
Away O1.5 39.0%

League track record

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5 48%
BTTS 43%
Score Hit 38%
ROI -7.8%
Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 22%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob49.7%

A 43% / xG 0.9-1.4 / U2.5 48% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%
#2 0–0 10.2%
#3 0–1 14.0%
#4 0–2 9.6%
#5 1–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Boston Legacy W0.9
Washington S. W1.4

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.1% · O3.5 PROB 29.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BOSTON LEGACY W · PPG 1.22

WASHINGTON S. W · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home AVERAGE (1.22)

Win probability 1X2

Boston Legacy W (H) 30.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Washington S. W (A) 42.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Boston Legacy W face Washington S. W in USA - NWSL on Sunday, July 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Boston Legacy W a 30% chance, the draw 27% and Washington S. W 43%, so Washington S. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Boston Legacy W and 1.4 for Washington S. W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Boston Legacy W are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.75 for Washington S. W.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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